Nintendo Wants To Ship Nearly 50 Million Switch Systems By April 2019 [Report]

Yeah, that would be roughly ahead of the Wii and Nintendo DS in the same period.

News by Mike Williams, .

Nintendo is ramping up production of the Nintendo Switch, as it expects demand to continue grow. Sources have told The Wall Street Journal that Nintendo wants to ship between 25 million and 30 million systems over the next fiscal year. That fiscal year would carry from April 1, 2018 to March 31, 2019.

With the release of the company's last earnings report, Nintendo updated its estimates for Switches shipped this fiscal year (ending on March 31, 2018) to 14 million. With the 2.74 million shipped from the March 3, 2017 launch to the beginning of this fiscal year on April 1, 2017, that's a total of 16.74 million. Assuming the company hits the high end of its estimates for the next fiscal year, that'll bring the shipment total to 46.74 million.

Nintendo's best-selling system of all-time, the Nintendo DS, had shipped 35.61 million units by the end of December 2006, two years out. The Nintendo Wii is the company's third highest-selling system and that crossed 44.96 million shipped by December 2008. (The Game Boy is the second best-selling system period, but numbers per quarter and per year are harder to find.) Basically, Nintendo is expecting record-level demand for the Nintendo Switch.

In contrast, the Sony PlayStation 4 had sold 30.2 million units worldwide by November 25, 2015, around two years out for its 2013 launch. Now, the numbers don't exactly match up, as Sony reports sell-through, the number of systems actually sold to customers, while Nintendo reports shipped, the number of systems sent to retail. Still, those are impressive numbers and if Nintendo hits them, they'll be in for a great time in the coming years.

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Comments 10

  • Avatar for FTLMantis #1 FTLMantis 5 months ago
    I guess we'll have to wait and see. Nintendo are a notoriously conservative company in terms of unit production, so I'm going to assume they know something we don't, but that seems like a lot of units. Maybe they hope Chinese demand will be high enough? Or they have another big software surprise around the corner?
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  • Avatar for Mr.Spo #2 Mr.Spo 5 months ago
    That's quite a misleading headline: Nintendo are potentially planning to produce 25-30 million Switch units in their next financial year, but there are several important caveats.

    a) This is a rumour and not confirmed information.
    b) Even then, the source of the rumour states that Nintendo have yet to decide on their manufacturing plans and will only decide in early 2018 - so this a *rumour* that Nintendo are *considering* dramatically increasing production.
    c) Manufacturing =/= shipping =/= selling to consumers
    d) Units manufactured in a single financial year do not all ship in that financial year - some of these units, likely several million units, will only ship in the first quarter of the financial year starting April 2019. It takes time to get units out of factories, onto cargo ships, then through customs, then into vans and trains, and finally onto store shelves and retail warehouses around the world.
    e) Finally, in order to increase shipments in the near-term, Nintendo have likely had to agree to higher orders from their component manufacturers in the longer term; parts suppliers won't increase production in the short-term without long-term security. Increased production in the next financial year may well be a reflection of that.

    I love my Switch and I'm glad Nintendo are successful again - but there's no guarantee of long-term success, let alone this kind of seriously unprecedented success. Nintendo have talked about using new IP next year to broaden Switch's appeal - but the two new IP they launched on Switch this year happen to be their two least successful launches on the system: Arms and 1-2 Switch have been clearly outperformed by Splatoon 2, Kart, Zelda, and now Mario Odyssey. If Nintendo's strategy in 2018 relies on titles similar to Arms and 1-2 Switch, it may well backfire.

    That being said, I expect Nintendo will announce an ambitious full-year target in April 2018 for that FY; likely 20 million units. And I hope some of their confidence for Switch comes from them having two major, mainstream hits ready for 2018: Animal Crossing and Pokemon, which are reliable console sellers, rather than just banking heavily on unproven IP.
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  • Avatar for MHWilliams #3 MHWilliams 5 months ago
    @Mr.Spo You are correct on the status of this as an unconfirmed report, so I've appended "Report" on the headline. The WSJ—Takashi Mochizuki in particular—usually doesn't go to press without good cause, but the headline should reflect that clearly.
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  • Avatar for Jonnyboy407 #4 Jonnyboy407 5 months ago
  • Avatar for MarioIV #5 MarioIV 5 months ago
    Long live Nintendo.
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  • Avatar for DrCorndog #6 DrCorndog 5 months ago
    They're effectively combining their console and handheld markets, so this seems possible.
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  • Avatar for mattcom26 #7 mattcom26 5 months ago
    I love my Switch enough to buy as second one for no good reason (upstairs/downstairs?)... maybe Nintendo knows. Anyway I'm thrilled to see Nintendo shifting back into optimism after the Wii U. A world without Nintendo consoles is a world I don't want to live in.Edited November 2017 by mattcom26
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  • Avatar for Nazo #8 Nazo 5 months ago
    Sounds like the Switch is doing pretty well, maybe it deserves an inclusion in the USG site blurb?

    "Covering the best in video gaming. News, previews and reviews of the latest Xbox One, PS3, PS4 and Wii U games."
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  • Avatar for jimgamer #9 jimgamer 5 months ago
    I hope this is true. The profile transfer rollout suggests they are keen to have multi system ownership in each home, Hulu marks the start of apps, and the massive increase of availability in retail and on Amazon means a lot of new Switches will he opened this holiday season, dragging in more users. The best sellers chart seeing Zelda andMario Kart 8 back in the top 5 last night means a lot of new systems are being turned on and the biggest franchise games getting downloaded again. It’s going to be huge.
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  • Avatar for realchris2011 #10 realchris2011 5 months ago
    There is such a thing as overstock, hopefully they sell them well, before it comes to this.
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